Two serious crises possible

Photo: Sputnik/Sergey Pyatakov

In the coming year, Europe and the world will face two serious crises that could seriously disrupt the current political and security situation. The first cause for concern is Russia’s announcement that will launch mass production of the “avantgarde” hypersonic rockets and that will begin arming with it Russian army. How dangerous these weapons are can be seen from the data that the “avantgarde” can carry nuclear and conventional warheads and can fly twenty-seven times faster than sound and is therefore elusive to any air defense. Adding to that, the intention of the Russian Armed Forces to begin production of advanced intercontinental “Yars” rockets that will equip three other rocket units in the next few years, almost all Russian military rocket units will be equipped with the latest technology. There is no doubt that America will not look down on it, but will take steps to equip its army with new and equally dangerous rockets weapons to respond to Russia’s move. Therefore, it is certain that the world is again facing a dangerous arms race involving Russia and America, as well as some other countries such as China, India, etc.

The current situation may also be exacerbated in Libya. The situation there is already in chaos due to a civil war and could become even worse if Turkish President Erdogan fulfills his promise. He announced as a realistic possibility that his country’s army would intervene in Libya early next year with the government of Fayez Al-Seraj in Tripoli (backed by the United Nations, Qatar and Italy) against the government of Khalifa Haftar (assisted by the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Russia and France ). If that happens, there will be no doubt that the consequences will be new casualties and devastation, a drastic increase in the number of refugees and something even more serious – further aggravation of the already poor relations between Turkey and Greece. The Athens government has announced that it will respond if Turkey sends its army to Libya in gratitude for the government’s decision in Tripoli to allow them to explore underwater gas reserves in the Mediterranean area. The situation in Ankara-Athens is more than tense and serious, as evidenced by Greece’s decision to start and complete the modernization of the Greek Air Force as soon as possible next year. Given that the Mediterranean is a NATO-controlled zone (the so-called “southern wing”), the world’s most powerful military organization will need to demonstrate a great deal of skill in calming the tensions between Turkey and Greece as this could lead to unwanted and far-reaching consequences.

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